Sefton · report
House prices in Sefton: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £209,581 and £236,703 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £223,142
- Chance of a rise
- 58%
Sefton: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Sefton
- North West
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Sefton | North West | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £223,142 (£209,581–£236,703) | £229,332 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £222,972 (£210,125–£235,820) | £228,587 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £222,803 (£210,685–£234,920) | £227,842 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £222,633 (£211,264–£234,002) | £227,097 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £222,463 (£211,865–£233,062) | £226,352 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £222,293 (£212,493–£232,093) | £225,607 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £222,124 (£213,157–£231,090) | £224,862 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £221,954 (£213,868–£230,040) | £224,117 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £221,784 (£214,641–£228,927) | £223,373 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £221,614 (£215,506–£227,722) | £222,628 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £221,445 (£216,522–£226,367) | £221,883 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £221,275 (£217,841–£224,709) | £221,138 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £221,105 | £220,393 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £223,860 | £220,420 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £225,505 | £219,258 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £223,030 | £219,184 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £219,256 | £216,706 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £218,577 | £215,750 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £221,205 | £216,160 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £222,246 | £215,288 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £218,023 | £215,540 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £215,348 | £217,453 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £214,147 | £214,098 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £216,262 | £213,696 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £216,785 | £215,583 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £216,388 | £212,124 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £214,225 | £210,074 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £214,882 | £207,564 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £212,667 | £201,694 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £212,502 | £216,425 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £212,109 | £209,139 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £214,372 | £207,957 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £214,921 | £207,967 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £213,202 | £208,283 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £213,294 | £207,841 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £211,027 | £207,922 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £206,898 | £207,404 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £202,581 | £203,585 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £200,179 | £201,998 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £199,887 | £202,747 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £199,149 | £198,529 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £198,555 | £198,378 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £199,386 | £196,304 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £198,935 | £196,802 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £200,008 | £200,245 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £201,323 | £199,536 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £202,392 | £200,939 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £204,239 | £200,657 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £201,293 | £200,408 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £202,058 | £199,014 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £201,074 | £197,880 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £200,809 | £196,419 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £197,545 | £194,385 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £197,652 | £194,453 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £200,565 | £196,497 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £202,569 | £197,527 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £203,517 | £200,795 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £202,241 | £202,872 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £203,859 | £202,008 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £203,591 | £202,921 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £201,814 | £200,868 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £198,457 | £199,323 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £193,640 | £194,417 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £193,884 | £192,942 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £192,321 | £191,021 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £191,194 | £187,958 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £189,121 | £187,066 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £186,742 | £186,704 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £183,464 | £185,573 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £183,927 | £182,712 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £183,050 | £177,157 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £180,254 | £187,266 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £221,614 | £215,506 – £227,722 | 54% | 38% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £221,784 | £214,641 – £228,927 | 55% | 37% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £223,142 | £209,581 – £236,703 | 58% | 30% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Sefton
At the average sale price, a home costs £221,105. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,020 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 17%
- Payment, one income
- 33%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £940
- Owning per month
- £1,041
18.3% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 450
- Per 1,000 residents
- 1.6
Figures for United Kingdom: Sefton has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 8 times since 1995. The deepest began in July 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −18.3%
- Recovery from the low
- 53 months
In 2025 the population grew by 2,259 while 660 homes were finished: 3.4 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 3.4
- Population change, 2025
- +2,259
5.3% of the 130,146 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 5.3%
- Empty homes
- 6,880
In 2025, 7% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 7%