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Paços de Ferreira · report

Past price cycles in Paços de Ferreira

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 14 times since 2015. The deepest began in December 2015.

Deepest fall
−15.4%
Recovery from the low
3 months

Prices in Paços de Ferreira and Portugal, indexed

Bank valuations, both set to 100 in April 2015.

  • Paços de Ferreira
  • Portugal
  • 100 = April 2015
Show the numbers
PeriodPaços de FerreiraPortugal
Sep 2026263.6299.7
Aug 2026263.2296.6
Jul 2026260.6294.7
Jun 2026263.7293.2
May 2026263.4290.5
Apr 2026263.6286.1
Mar 2026253.6283.0
Feb 2026241.8279.2
Jan 2026254.1277.0
Dec 2025253.9273.8
Nov 2025244.9271.1
Oct 2025235.6266.4
Sep 2025234.1262.5
Aug 2025229.8258.6
Jul 2025225.3255.9
Jun 2025216.3251.4
May 2025220.1248.2
Apr 2025214.5245.5
Mar 2025211.6243.0
Feb 2025208.0238.2
Jan 2025203.8233.4
Dec 2024210.6229.9
Nov 2024204.2228.9
Oct 2024205.8226.4
Sep 2024203.0223.0
Aug 2024200.5218.9
Jul 2024194.7215.5
Jun 2024189.2212.9
May 2024174.9211.8
Apr 2024172.4210.0
Mar 2024177.4207.9
Feb 2024187.7205.3
Jan 2024184.2203.9
Dec 2023177.7202.1
Nov 2023175.9201.3
Oct 2023174.7202.1
Sep 2023175.5202.8
Aug 2023174.9202.4
Jul 2023176.2200.7
Jun 2023176.5199.7
May 2023164.7198.7
Apr 2023161.4196.2
Mar 2023163.4195.1
Feb 2023166.4194.5
Jan 2023161.4195.4
Dec 2022166.2191.8
Nov 2022166.2190.7
Oct 2022171.7186.8
Sep 2022160.4188.0
Aug 2022159.9186.1
Jul 2022157.6186.4
Jun 2022153.4185.1
May 2022154.7181.6
Apr 2022154.4178.4
Mar 2022154.4175.1
Feb 2022144.9172.9
Jan 2022141.4170.0
Dec 2021138.8169.1
Nov 2021143.1167.4
Oct 2021138.9164.6
Sep 2021138.3162.6
Aug 2021125.3160.7
Jul 2021124.6160.7
Jun 2021127.5159.9
May 2021130.8159.5
Apr 2021139.9157.9
Mar 2021134.6156.2
Feb 2021135.3154.5
Jan 2021128.8153.9
Dec 2020133.4152.1
Nov 2020130.8150.5
Oct 2020139.8148.8
Sep 2020139.4148.4
Aug 2020136.8148.4
Jul 2020130.4148.3
Jun 2020126.5147.2
May 2020125.5146.6
Apr 2020132.8146.2
Mar 2020126.8146.1
Feb 2020127.0146.2
Jan 2020121.0145.1
Dec 2019117.3143.6
Nov 2019119.3141.6
Oct 2019118.8140.7
Sep 2019119.8140.3
Aug 2019119.0138.7
Jul 2019123.6137.4
Jun 2019121.3135.5
May 2019119.5134.6
Apr 2019110.1133.6
Mar 2019114.6132.4
Feb 2019115.3131.6
Jan 2019114.6129.3
Dec 2018109.3128.6
Nov 2018103.3127.4
Oct 2018103.3127.2
Sep 2018104.0126.2
Aug 2018109.5125.1
Jul 2018112.1123.8
Jun 2018114.5122.6
May 2018116.0122.2
Apr 2018112.1121.6
Mar 2018107.0121.1
Feb 2018104.2119.9
Jan 2018108.3118.7
Dec 2017110.0117.2
Nov 2017108.8117.0
Oct 2017110.6116.6
Sep 2017110.1115.9
Aug 2017107.0114.2
Jul 2017104.3113.3
Jun 2017102.3113.2
May 2017100.5112.8
Apr 2017100.5112.4
Mar 201799.0111.7
Feb 2017101.8111.4
Jan 2017100.3110.7
Dec 2016102.0109.6
Nov 201697.5108.7
Oct 201697.3107.9
Sep 201696.8107.4
Aug 2016102.0107.1
Jul 2016102.3106.1
Jun 2016100.2105.7
May 2016103.0105.3
Apr 201696.2104.5
Mar 201691.2103.7
Feb 201686.0103.3
Jan 201694.0103.3
Dec 2015101.7103.7
Nov 201598.3103.0
Oct 201598.3102.6
Sep 201595.7102.2
Aug 201594.3101.8
Jul 201592.5102.1
Jun 201597.8101.2
May 201598.7101.1
Apr 2015100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
April 2015July 2015−7.5%35
December 2015February 2016−15.4%23
May 2016September 2016−6.0%410
October 2017February 2018−5.9%42
May 2018October 2018−10.9%57
July 2019December 2019−5.1%52
April 2020May 2020−5.5%13
October 2020January 2021−7.9%33
April 2021July 2021−10.9%34
November 2021December 2021−3.0%12
October 2022January 2023−6.0%35
February 2024April 2024−8.2%22
December 2024January 2025−3.2%12
January 2026February 2026−4.8%12

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Paços de Ferreira

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €1,992/m² and €2,505/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€2,249/m²
Chance of a rise
88%

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €142,560. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €541 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
25%
Payment, one income
49%

Owning and renting a 90 m² home cost about the same each month. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€499
Owning per month
€482

Sellers ask 27.3% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +23.8%.

Gap today
+27.3%
Change in a year
+3.5 pp

192.9% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
609
Per 1,000 residents
10.6

Figures for Tâmega e Sousa: Paços de Ferreira has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 17.8% less per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
−17.8%

In 2025 the population grew by 439 while 213 homes were finished: 2.1 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
2.1
Population change, 2025
+439

8.8% of the 22,368 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
8.8%
Empty homes
1,971

In 2025, 19% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
19%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Public bodies signed €13.8M of housing works here in 2025, and €24.1M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€13.8M
Per resident, 2025
€241

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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