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Castelo de Paiva · report

Past price cycles in Castelo de Paiva

Asking prices have fallen by 3% or more 5 times since 2019. The deepest began in December 2021.

Deepest fall
−20.8%
Recovery from the low
5 months

Prices in Castelo de Paiva and Portugal, indexed

Asking prices, both set to 100 in March 2019.

  • Castelo de Paiva
  • Portugal
  • 100 = March 2019
Show the numbers
PeriodCastelo de PaivaPortugal
Sep 2026244.8176.9
Aug 2026232.7175.7
Jul 2026220.8175.9
Jun 2026209.0175.9
May 2026204.4175.2
Apr 2026207.8175.2
Mar 2026210.4173.9
Feb 2026211.9172.1
Jan 2026209.8170.5
Dec 2025205.5168.8
Nov 2025208.3167.8
Oct 2025206.4165.6
Sep 2025209.0164.0
Aug 2025199.5163.5
Jul 2025190.1162.8
Jun 2025180.6161.0
May 2025171.2158.4
Apr 2025166.0157.1
Mar 2025164.8155.2
Feb 2025175.7153.2
Jan 2025168.2150.8
Dec 2024160.7149.0
Nov 2024153.4146.7
Oct 2024150.0145.2
Sep 2024144.5144.4
Aug 2024146.9143.9
Jul 2024145.9143.8
Jun 2024145.0142.6
May 2024144.1141.8
Apr 2024143.2139.8
Mar 2024148.0138.7
Feb 2024153.1137.6
Jan 2024150.8136.9
Dec 2023148.5135.2
Nov 2023146.4134.0
Oct 2023144.3131.9
Sep 2023142.2131.0
Aug 2023149.7130.7
Jul 2023157.0131.1
Jun 2023153.6131.0
May 2023150.0129.8
Apr 2023146.4129.3
Mar 2023138.9128.1
Feb 2023131.3127.4
Jan 2023123.8126.6
Dec 2022116.1126.0
Nov 2022116.3125.7
Oct 2022116.6123.8
Sep 2022121.3123.1
Aug 2022126.2122.8
Jul 2022128.3122.7
Jun 2022130.3122.6
May 2022138.8122.5
Apr 2022136.8121.8
Mar 2022133.2121.9
Feb 2022133.6121.3
Jan 2022137.0120.8
Dec 2021146.6120.7
Nov 2021134.7120.3
Oct 2021122.8119.6
Sep 2021110.7118.2
Aug 202198.9117.7
Jul 202187.0117.3
Jun 202186.5116.2
May 202186.8115.5
Apr 202190.4114.9
Mar 202192.0114.8
Feb 202194.1114.5
Jan 202196.6114.7
Dec 202092.3114.0
Nov 202096.6113.1
Oct 202093.5111.7
Sep 202096.1110.4
Aug 202093.5109.8
Jul 202095.8109.2
Jun 202098.2109.7
May 2020100.7110.1
Apr 2020102.9110.7
Mar 2020105.4109.6
Feb 2020105.0108.9
Jan 2020104.9107.6
Dec 2019104.6108.3
Nov 2019103.1107.7
Oct 2019101.8107.5
Sep 2019100.8107.3
Aug 2019103.1107.4
Jul 2019101.5107.5
Jun 201997.9105.8
May 201998.0103.3
Apr 201997.9101.1
Mar 2019100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
March 2020June 2021−17.9%153
December 2021December 2022−20.8%125
July 2023September 2023−9.4%215
February 2025March 2025−6.2%13
February 2026May 2026−3.5%32

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Castelo de Paiva

Next 12 months

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €1,638/m² and €2,253/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€1,945/m²
Chance of a rise
97%

Affordability

At the median sale price, a 90 m² home costs €81,810. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €310 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
14%
Payment, one income
29%

Buy or rent

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€378
Owning per month
€287

Asking against valuation

Sellers ask 6.4% more than banks value homes at.

Gap today
+6.4%

New homes

24.7% fewer homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
34
Per 1,000 residents
2.1

Foreign buyers

Figures for Tâmega e Sousa: Castelo de Paiva has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 17.8% less per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
−17.8%

People and new homes

In 2025 the population grew by 69 while 19 homes were finished: 3.6 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
3.6
Population change, 2025
+69

Empty homes

12.9% of the 7,639 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
12.9%
Empty homes
987

Renovation

In 2025, 25% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
25%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
9.5

Public housing works

Public bodies signed €14.3K of housing works here in 2025, and €4.2M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€14.3K
Per resident, 2025
€1

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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