South Gloucestershire · report
House prices in South Gloucestershire: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £328,470 and £357,148 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £342,809
- Chance of a rise
- 74%
South Gloucestershire: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- South Gloucestershire
- South West
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | South Gloucestershire | South West | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £342,809 (£328,470–£357,148) | £308,828 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £342,206 (£328,777–£355,635) | £308,437 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £341,603 (£329,091–£354,115) | £308,046 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £341,000 (£329,414–£352,586) | £307,656 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £340,397 (£329,748–£351,046) | £307,265 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £339,794 (£330,096–£349,491) | £306,874 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £339,191 (£330,463–£347,918) | £306,483 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £338,587 (£330,856–£346,319) | £306,093 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £337,984 (£331,286–£344,682) | £305,702 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £337,381 (£331,775–£342,987) | £305,311 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £336,778 (£332,365–£341,191) | £304,920 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £336,175 (£333,176–£339,175) | £304,530 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £335,572 | £304,139 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £340,794 | £302,027 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £340,219 | £303,232 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £340,307 | £302,533 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £337,701 | £303,427 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £335,148 | £301,647 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £331,908 | £301,220 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £329,978 | £300,664 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £330,915 | £298,687 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £331,306 | £302,921 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £333,017 | £300,893 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £332,456 | £301,093 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £332,178 | £304,262 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £330,523 | £302,826 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £332,632 | £298,838 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £333,239 | £297,421 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £334,842 | £292,255 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £332,988 | £303,287 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £332,982 | £301,560 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £329,775 | £301,828 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £328,477 | £300,210 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £326,157 | £300,240 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £325,961 | £306,423 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £323,612 | £304,305 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £324,875 | £303,164 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £324,992 | £301,845 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £327,873 | £297,239 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £325,636 | £298,492 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £320,671 | £297,850 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £312,793 | £295,240 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £312,583 | £296,587 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £316,840 | £299,150 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £321,980 | £294,676 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £323,538 | £299,952 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £323,805 | £305,147 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £324,067 | £304,837 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £325,144 | £307,132 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £321,499 | £306,036 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £324,099 | £300,808 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £324,014 | £302,199 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £328,290 | £302,791 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £327,967 | £303,206 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £330,361 | £306,826 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £333,083 | £309,102 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £336,010 | £308,957 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £337,469 | £313,892 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £334,554 | £313,800 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £330,991 | £314,370 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £326,570 | £314,238 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £323,734 | £309,032 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £320,487 | £299,771 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £314,778 | £301,875 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £309,712 | £296,983 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £306,209 | £291,647 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £304,450 | £291,034 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £305,081 | £291,018 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £303,036 | £285,237 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £302,785 | £284,105 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £299,720 | £276,090 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £295,837 | £283,935 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £337,381 | £331,775 – £342,987 | 66% | 40% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £337,984 | £331,286 – £344,682 | 68% | 39% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £342,809 | £328,470 – £357,148 | 74% | 34% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for South Gloucestershire
At the average sale price, a home costs £335,572. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,548 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 23%
- Payment, one income
- 46%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £1,474
- Owning per month
- £1,580
60.5% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 600
- Per 1,000 residents
- 1.9
Figures for United Kingdom: South Gloucestershire has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 3 times since 1995. The deepest began in November 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −22.4%
- Recovery from the low
- 64 months
In 2025 the population grew by 3,039 while 1,340 homes were finished: 2.3 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 2.3
- Population change, 2025
- +3,039
3.4% of the 122,516 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 3.4%
- Empty homes
- 4,215
In 2025, 5% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 5%