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South East · report

House prices in South East: the next 12 months

Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £366,902 and £400,030 by August 2027.

Expected, August 2027
£383,466
Chance of a rise
61%

South East: five years of prices and the expected path

Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path

  • South East
  • England
  • United Kingdom
  • Expected path
  • 80% range
Show the numbers
PeriodSouth EastEnglandUnited Kingdom
Aug 2027 · Expected path£383,466 (£366,902–£400,030)£298,140£280,154
Jul 2027 · Expected path£383,173 (£367,647–£398,700)£297,755£279,560
Jun 2027 · Expected path£382,880 (£368,400–£397,360)£297,371£278,967
May 2027 · Expected path£382,588 (£369,165–£396,010)£296,986£278,374
Apr 2027 · Expected path£382,295 (£369,943–£394,647)£296,602£277,781
Mar 2027 · Expected path£382,002 (£370,739–£393,265)£296,217£277,188
Feb 2027 · Expected path£381,709 (£371,559–£391,860)£295,832£276,595
Jan 2027 · Expected path£381,417 (£372,410–£390,424)£295,448£276,002
Dec 2026 · Expected path£381,124 (£373,307–£388,941)£295,063£275,409
Nov 2026 · Expected path£380,831 (£374,275–£387,388)£294,679£274,816
Oct 2026 · Expected path£380,538 (£375,366–£385,711)£294,294£274,223
Sep 2026 · Expected path£380,246 (£376,720–£383,772)£293,910£273,630
Aug 2026£379,953£293,525£273,037
Jul 2026£380,375£292,882£272,146
Jun 2026£378,890£291,674£270,690
May 2026£381,519£292,907£272,221
Apr 2026£379,342£292,164£270,966
Mar 2026£378,202£290,133£268,631
Feb 2026£378,018£291,263£269,423
Jan 2026£379,593£290,474£268,814
Dec 2025£374,984£289,280£268,002
Nov 2025£379,283£291,892£270,472
Oct 2025£382,074£290,975£269,819
Sep 2025£379,765£290,689£269,556
Aug 2025£383,045£292,319£270,575
Jul 2025£380,195£290,212£268,843
Jun 2025£379,262£288,115£266,796
May 2025£376,656£285,526£264,078
Apr 2025£375,519£280,500£260,162
Mar 2025£381,452£291,748£268,019
Feb 2025£380,137£287,794£264,771
Jan 2025£381,267£287,264£264,936
Dec 2024£378,958£287,035£263,991
Nov 2024£377,413£286,814£264,515
Oct 2024£381,155£287,595£265,252
Sep 2024£380,519£287,576£264,750
Aug 2024£381,897£287,343£265,085
Jul 2024£377,066£284,105£262,479
Jun 2024£373,083£281,611£259,585
May 2024£372,808£280,824£258,565
Apr 2024£369,214£277,945£256,478
Mar 2024£366,875£276,971£255,082
Feb 2024£367,789£276,935£254,633
Jan 2024£369,326£278,060£255,972
Dec 2023£367,572£278,664£256,177
Nov 2023£375,344£281,026£258,368
Oct 2023£377,965£283,147£260,129
Sep 2023£379,338£284,428£261,318
Aug 2023£381,601£285,690£262,602
Jul 2023£381,968£284,246£261,182
Jun 2023£377,848£281,585£258,275
May 2023£377,989£279,846£257,330
Apr 2023£379,543£280,054£256,479
Mar 2023£380,362£279,592£255,885
Feb 2023£383,401£283,907£258,788
Jan 2023£387,727£285,817£260,941
Dec 2022£388,158£288,198£263,190
Nov 2022£389,960£290,003£265,299
Oct 2022£391,862£289,993£265,693
Sep 2022£391,553£290,185£265,727
Aug 2022£390,701£289,294£265,124
Jul 2022£387,054£286,526£262,904
Jun 2022£380,603£281,116£258,118
May 2022£376,100£278,084£255,040
Apr 2022£370,658£274,812£252,167
Mar 2022£369,755£272,225£249,232
Feb 2022£367,655£271,265£248,309
Jan 2022£368,184£270,231£248,031
Dec 2021£362,713£267,793£245,189
Nov 2021£360,386£265,662£243,930
Oct 2021£354,140£259,748£239,236
Sep 2021£361,613£268,041£245,371

What the model expects

The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.

HorizonExpected80% rangeChance of a riseChance of beating inflation
In 3 months (November 2026)£380,831£374,275 – £387,38857%32%
In 4 months (December 2026)£381,124£373,307 – £388,94158%30%
In 12 months (August 2027)£383,466£366,902 – £400,03061%22%

The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.

Other reports for South East

At the average sale price, a home costs £379,953. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,753 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.

Payment, two incomes
25%
Payment, one income
51%

Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
£1,438
Owning per month
£1,789

25.3% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Started, 12 months
20,390
Per 1,000 residents
2.1

Figures for United Kingdom: South East has no reliable figures of its own.

Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.

Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
1.8%

Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 5 times since 1992. The deepest began in October 2007.

Deepest fall
−20.0%
Recovery from the low
57 months

In 2025 the population grew by 53,259 while 24,810 homes were finished: 2.1 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
2.1
Population change, 2025
+53,259

4.9% of the 4,026,333 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.

Empty, 2021 census
4.9%
Empty homes
196,005

In 2025, 12% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.

Homes from existing buildings, 2025
12%