United Kingdom · report
House prices in the United Kingdom: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £266,699 and £293,608 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £280,154
- Chance of a rise
- 75%
United Kingdom: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | United Kingdom |
|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £280,154 (£266,699–£293,608) |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £279,560 (£266,890–£292,231) |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £278,967 (£267,091–£290,844) |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £278,374 (£267,304–£289,444) |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £277,781 (£267,534–£288,029) |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £277,188 (£267,783–£286,593) |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £276,595 (£268,058–£285,132) |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £276,002 (£268,368–£283,637) |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £275,409 (£268,726–£282,093) |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £274,816 (£269,156–£280,476) |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £274,223 (£269,709–£278,737) |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £273,630 (£270,516–£276,744) |
| Aug 2026 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £274,816 | £269,156 – £280,476 | 66% | 45% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £275,409 | £268,726 – £282,093 | 68% | 44% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £280,154 | £266,699 – £293,608 | 75% | 41% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for the United Kingdom
At the average sale price, a home costs £273,037. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,260 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 19%
- Payment, one income
- 39%
Owning the average home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £1,406
- Owning per month
- £1,286
9.2% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 160,909
- Per 1,000 residents
- 2.3
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 5 times since 1968. The deepest began in September 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −18.7%
- Recovery from the low
- 65 months
In 2025 the population grew by 227,826 while 168,756 homes were finished: 1.4 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 1.4
- Population change, 2025
- +227,826