Newcastle-under-Lyme · report
House prices in Newcastle-under-Lyme: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £207,274 and £236,113 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £221,694
- Chance of a rise
- 88%
Newcastle-under-Lyme: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Newcastle-under-Lyme
- West Midlands
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £221,694 (£207,274–£236,113) | £253,114 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £220,575 (£206,884–£234,267) | £252,915 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £219,456 (£206,512–£232,401) | £252,716 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £218,338 (£206,162–£230,513) | £252,518 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £217,219 (£205,839–£228,599) | £252,319 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £216,100 (£205,550–£226,651) | £252,121 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £214,981 (£205,301–£224,661) | £251,922 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £213,863 (£205,107–£222,618) | £251,724 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £212,744 (£204,986–£220,502) | £251,525 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £211,625 (£204,970–£218,280) | £251,327 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £210,506 (£205,126–£215,887) | £251,128 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £209,388 (£205,620–£213,155) | £250,930 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £208,269 | £250,731 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £208,872 | £250,175 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £211,764 | £249,325 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £200,889 | £248,861 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £200,296 | £250,664 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £198,207 | £246,919 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £201,739 | £250,140 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £203,292 | £247,199 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £203,012 | £245,747 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £203,549 | £247,711 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £203,511 | £248,716 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £201,093 | £248,129 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £198,068 | £247,879 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £196,227 | £247,117 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £196,663 | £244,557 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £195,488 | £241,287 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £196,765 | £236,991 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £195,034 | £246,603 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £197,306 | £244,610 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £196,071 | £241,526 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £196,247 | £241,278 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £194,696 | £243,459 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £194,733 | £241,362 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £197,124 | £242,607 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £196,345 | £241,068 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £193,245 | £239,774 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £186,590 | £238,654 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £182,772 | £236,114 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £180,892 | £233,571 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £177,450 | £231,972 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £178,517 | £232,662 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £181,428 | £232,200 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £186,288 | £234,452 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £190,733 | £235,472 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £186,922 | £236,787 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £186,909 | £239,026 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £184,801 | £238,205 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £185,047 | £237,687 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £185,275 | £235,260 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £181,883 | £233,888 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £183,236 | £231,640 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £183,021 | £230,851 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £188,689 | £238,586 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £190,406 | £237,934 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £187,314 | £239,619 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £183,280 | £239,630 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £183,147 | £241,762 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £185,752 | £240,079 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £185,666 | £238,546 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £183,640 | £237,741 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £181,003 | £231,031 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £178,234 | £229,576 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £175,816 | £226,561 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £175,665 | £225,611 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £175,777 | £223,616 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £174,277 | £221,008 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £171,778 | £220,926 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £169,960 | £217,691 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £168,078 | £212,178 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £165,337 | £219,567 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £211,625 | £204,970 – £218,280 | 74% | 62% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £212,744 | £204,986 – £220,502 | 77% | 63% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £221,694 | £207,274 – £236,113 | 88% | 71% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Newcastle-under-Lyme
At the average sale price, a home costs £208,269. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £961 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 16%
- Payment, one income
- 32%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £837
- Owning per month
- £981
75.3% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 450
- Per 1,000 residents
- 3.5
Figures for United Kingdom: Newcastle-under-Lyme has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 13 times since 1995. The deepest began in December 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −16.0%
- Recovery from the low
- 87 months
In 2025 the population grew by 632 while 240 homes were finished: 2.6 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 2.6
- Population change, 2025
- +632
4.9% of the 56,298 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 4.9%
- Empty homes
- 2,765
In 2025, 4% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 4%