Manchester · report
House prices in Manchester: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £241,434 and £279,326 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £260,380
- Chance of a rise
- 60%
Manchester: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Manchester
- North West
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Manchester | North West | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £260,380 (£241,434–£279,326) | £229,332 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £260,078 (£242,070–£278,086) | £228,587 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £259,776 (£242,733–£276,820) | £227,842 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £259,475 (£243,427–£275,522) | £227,097 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £259,173 (£244,158–£274,188) | £226,352 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £258,871 (£244,935–£272,808) | £225,607 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £258,570 (£245,768–£271,372) | £224,862 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £258,268 (£246,675–£269,862) | £224,117 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £257,967 (£247,681–£268,252) | £223,373 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £257,665 (£248,831–£266,499) | £222,628 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £257,363 (£250,210–£264,516) | £221,883 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £257,062 (£252,047–£262,077) | £221,138 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £256,760 | £220,393 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £252,888 | £220,420 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £250,364 | £219,258 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £248,061 | £219,184 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £247,856 | £216,706 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £250,862 | £215,750 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £255,754 | £216,160 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £260,716 | £215,288 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £259,133 | £215,540 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £254,134 | £217,453 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £250,322 | £214,098 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £251,094 | £213,696 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £251,442 | £215,583 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £249,208 | £212,124 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £244,141 | £210,074 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £246,330 | £207,564 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £244,096 | £201,694 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £244,674 | £216,425 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £242,034 | £209,139 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £242,975 | £207,957 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £243,658 | £207,967 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £242,717 | £208,283 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £244,536 | £207,841 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £244,986 | £207,922 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £246,332 | £207,404 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £255,632 | £203,585 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £252,916 | £201,998 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £248,644 | £202,747 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £231,082 | £198,529 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £229,310 | £198,378 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £229,955 | £196,304 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £233,879 | £196,802 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £239,704 | £200,245 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £245,089 | £199,536 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £248,175 | £200,939 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £243,626 | £200,657 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £237,753 | £200,408 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £229,283 | £199,014 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £224,700 | £197,880 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £222,199 | £196,419 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £223,559 | £194,385 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £223,965 | £194,453 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £226,523 | £196,497 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £231,174 | £197,527 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £233,605 | £200,795 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £234,049 | £202,872 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £231,541 | £202,008 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £232,660 | £202,921 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £230,341 | £200,868 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £231,065 | £199,323 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £234,545 | £194,417 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £232,717 | £192,942 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £229,818 | £191,021 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £230,158 | £187,958 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £230,066 | £187,066 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £229,527 | £186,704 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £220,027 | £185,573 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £217,269 | £182,712 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £211,691 | £177,157 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £206,360 | £187,266 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £257,665 | £248,831 – £266,499 | 55% | 42% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £257,967 | £247,681 – £268,252 | 56% | 41% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £260,380 | £241,434 – £279,326 | 60% | 36% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Manchester
At the average sale price, a home costs £256,760. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,185 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 20%
- Payment, one income
- 39%
Owning the average home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £1,380
- Owning per month
- £1,209
56.7% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 3,150
- Per 1,000 residents
- 5.4
Figures for United Kingdom: Manchester has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 12 times since 1995. The deepest began in August 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −20.5%
- Recovery from the low
- 77 months
In 2025 the population fell by 271 while 1,050 homes were finished.
- Homes finished, 2025
- 1,050
- Population change, 2025
- −271
6.9% of the 232,906 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 6.9%
- Empty homes
- 15,975
In 2025, 2% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 2%