Lancaster · report
House prices in Lancaster: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £202,259 and £232,960 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £217,610
- Chance of a rise
- 88%
Lancaster: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Lancaster
- North West
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Lancaster | North West | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £217,610 (£202,259–£232,960) | £229,332 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £216,457 (£201,863–£231,052) | £228,587 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £215,305 (£201,488–£229,122) | £227,842 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £214,152 (£201,138–£227,167) | £227,097 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £213,000 (£200,820–£225,181) | £226,352 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £211,848 (£200,538–£223,157) | £225,607 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £210,695 (£200,303–£221,088) | £224,862 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £209,543 (£200,128–£218,958) | £224,117 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £208,391 (£200,035–£216,746) | £223,373 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £207,238 (£200,059–£214,418) | £222,628 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £206,086 (£200,270–£211,901) | £221,883 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £204,933 (£200,855–£209,012) | £221,138 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £203,781 | £220,393 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £203,663 | £220,420 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £200,710 | £219,258 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £196,154 | £219,184 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £192,684 | £216,706 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £194,234 | £215,750 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £196,164 | £216,160 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £197,370 | £215,288 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £199,509 | £215,540 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £198,760 | £217,453 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £199,417 | £214,098 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £196,230 | £213,696 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £194,788 | £215,583 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £193,469 | £212,124 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £190,485 | £210,074 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £191,793 | £207,564 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £192,994 | £201,694 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £194,865 | £216,425 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £194,163 | £209,139 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £193,498 | £207,957 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £196,403 | £207,967 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £200,503 | £208,283 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £197,121 | £207,841 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £197,012 | £207,922 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £193,416 | £207,404 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £198,674 | £203,585 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £195,619 | £201,998 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £193,339 | £202,747 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £190,305 | £198,529 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £188,767 | £198,378 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £189,721 | £196,304 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £190,958 | £196,802 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £194,460 | £200,245 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £198,663 | £199,536 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £198,896 | £200,939 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £199,136 | £200,657 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £195,618 | £200,408 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £190,310 | £199,014 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £185,402 | £197,880 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £182,268 | £196,419 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £186,738 | £194,385 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £188,901 | £194,453 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £191,570 | £196,497 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £191,669 | £197,527 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £192,667 | £200,795 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £193,955 | £202,872 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £189,493 | £202,008 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £188,219 | £202,921 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £185,308 | £200,868 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £185,053 | £199,323 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £182,180 | £194,417 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £179,277 | £192,942 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £176,213 | £191,021 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £176,023 | £187,958 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £176,586 | £187,066 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £176,767 | £186,704 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £174,081 | £185,573 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £173,026 | £182,712 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £171,264 | £177,157 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £167,297 | £187,266 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £207,238 | £200,059 – £214,418 | 73% | 62% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £208,391 | £200,035 – £216,746 | 76% | 64% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £217,610 | £202,259 – £232,960 | 88% | 71% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Lancaster
At the average sale price, a home costs £203,781. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £940 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 16%
- Payment, one income
- 32%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £830
- Owning per month
- £959
34.3% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 150
- Per 1,000 residents
- 1.0
Figures for United Kingdom: Lancaster has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 10 times since 1995. The deepest began in November 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −21.9%
- Recovery from the low
- 128 months
In 2025 the population fell by 91 while 120 homes were finished.
- Homes finished, 2025
- 120
- Population change, 2025
- −91
7.4% of the 65,403 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 7.4%
- Empty homes
- 4,850
In 2025, 15% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 15%