Kensington and Chelsea · report
House prices in Kensington and Chelsea: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £881,298 and £1,223,617 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £1,052,457
- Chance of a rise
- 13%
Kensington and Chelsea: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Kensington and Chelsea
- London
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Kensington and Chelsea | London | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £1,052,457 (£881,298–£1,223,617) | £566,944 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £1,065,092 (£901,539–£1,228,645) | £565,901 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £1,077,727 (£922,091–£1,233,362) | £564,858 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £1,090,361 (£943,003–£1,237,720) | £563,816 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £1,102,996 (£964,339–£1,241,652) | £562,773 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £1,115,630 (£986,186–£1,245,074) | £561,730 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £1,128,265 (£1,008,662–£1,247,868) | £560,687 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £1,140,899 (£1,031,935–£1,249,863) | £559,644 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £1,153,534 (£1,056,269–£1,250,798) | £558,601 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £1,166,168 (£1,082,105–£1,250,232) | £557,559 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £1,178,803 (£1,110,304–£1,247,302) | £556,516 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £1,191,437 (£1,143,100–£1,239,775) | £555,473 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £1,204,072 | £554,430 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £1,257,453 | £550,340 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £1,324,073 | £551,440 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £1,335,739 | £549,535 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £1,363,307 | £554,363 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £1,322,108 | £546,111 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £1,310,028 | £546,681 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £1,315,018 | £553,643 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £1,316,518 | £550,040 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £1,382,430 | £560,709 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £1,374,461 | £557,572 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £1,392,598 | £565,498 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £1,396,156 | £567,115 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £1,434,732 | £568,795 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £1,466,106 | £568,050 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £1,405,728 | £565,507 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £1,389,588 | £564,530 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £1,357,957 | £553,812 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £1,380,085 | £561,072 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £1,344,127 | £563,861 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £1,332,149 | £556,882 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £1,414,918 | £559,925 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £1,431,068 | £560,909 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £1,408,197 | £566,882 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £1,358,489 | £567,121 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £1,395,929 | £557,831 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £1,434,644 | £556,853 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £1,417,596 | £553,592 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £1,359,656 | £548,467 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £1,400,416 | £547,437 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £1,379,263 | £546,247 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £1,383,325 | £551,097 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £1,388,740 | £549,112 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £1,458,317 | £547,757 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £1,518,106 | £555,122 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £1,454,351 | £565,702 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £1,497,975 | £560,630 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £1,507,828 | £559,703 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £1,525,586 | £556,107 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £1,481,750 | £554,900 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £1,460,873 | £557,147 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £1,491,178 | £555,361 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £1,454,658 | £563,875 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £1,473,932 | £570,869 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £1,424,062 | £572,384 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £1,512,510 | £575,480 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £1,533,928 | £573,946 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £1,656,986 | £579,330 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £1,628,847 | £581,320 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £1,614,869 | £575,261 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £1,630,586 | £572,418 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £1,636,151 | £554,380 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £1,629,934 | £554,765 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £1,554,651 | £550,480 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £1,481,871 | £551,066 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £1,484,818 | £550,635 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £1,527,160 | £547,837 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £1,569,318 | £547,647 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £1,653,252 | £539,606 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £1,640,653 | £541,876 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £1,166,168 | £1,082,105 – £1,250,232 | 28% | 23% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £1,153,534 | £1,056,269 – £1,250,798 | 25% | 20% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £1,052,457 | £881,298 – £1,223,617 | 13% | 7% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Kensington and Chelsea
At the average sale price, a home costs £1,204,072. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £5,555 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 63%
- Payment, one income
- 127%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £3,739
- Owning per month
- £5,669
68.1% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 250
- Per 1,000 residents
- 1.7
Figures for United Kingdom: Kensington and Chelsea has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 20 times since 1995. The deepest began in February 2008.
- Deepest fall
- −28.1%
- Recovery from the low
- 14 months
In 2025 the population fell by 1,517 while 20 homes were finished.
- Homes finished, 2025
- 20
- Population change, 2025
- −1,517
19.2% of the 89,229 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 19.2%
- Empty homes
- 17,155
In 2025, -16% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- -16%