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Oliveira do Bairro · report

Past price cycles in Oliveira do Bairro

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 9 times since 2020. The deepest began in June 2023.

Deepest fall
−9.4%
Recovery from the low
3 months

Prices in Oliveira do Bairro and Portugal, indexed

Bank valuations, both set to 100 in August 2020.

  • Oliveira do Bairro
  • Portugal
  • 100 = August 2020
Show the numbers
PeriodOliveira do BairroPortugal
Sep 2026194.4202.0
Aug 2026199.7199.8
Jul 2026200.5198.6
Jun 2026197.8197.5
May 2026196.7195.7
Apr 2026181.6192.7
Mar 2026174.7190.7
Feb 2026173.4188.1
Jan 2026179.7186.6
Dec 2025172.6184.5
Nov 2025174.0182.6
Oct 2025165.2179.5
Sep 2025166.5176.9
Aug 2025156.5174.2
Jul 2025157.2172.4
Jun 2025161.1169.4
May 2025167.9167.2
Apr 2025159.2165.4
Mar 2025154.6163.7
Feb 2025153.9160.5
Jan 2025156.2157.3
Dec 2024155.8154.9
Nov 2024153.3154.3
Oct 2024148.5152.6
Sep 2024143.5150.3
Aug 2024143.5147.5
Jul 2024137.0145.2
Jun 2024136.2143.4
May 2024132.8142.7
Apr 2024135.2141.5
Mar 2024141.2140.1
Feb 2024143.2138.3
Jan 2024136.2137.4
Dec 2023136.3136.2
Nov 2023136.9135.6
Oct 2023135.9136.2
Sep 2023128.2136.6
Aug 2023125.3136.3
Jul 2023122.5135.2
Jun 2023135.2134.6
May 2023134.4133.9
Apr 2023135.2132.2
Mar 2023131.7131.5
Feb 2023128.9131.0
Jan 2023126.6131.6
Dec 2022126.6129.3
Nov 2022129.1128.5
Oct 2022130.9125.9
Sep 2022133.2126.7
Aug 2022130.4125.4
Jul 2022129.9125.6
Jun 2022122.1124.7
May 2022119.2122.3
Apr 2022118.6120.2
Mar 2022120.2118.0
Feb 2022122.0116.5
Jan 2022119.4114.5
Dec 2021117.8113.9
Nov 2021112.2112.8
Oct 2021109.3110.9
Sep 2021102.7109.6
Aug 202199.7108.2
Jul 2021104.1108.2
Jun 2021109.1107.7
May 2021106.1107.4
Apr 2021103.7106.4
Mar 202198.5105.2
Feb 2021102.2104.1
Jan 202199.1103.7
Dec 2020101.8102.5
Nov 202098.4101.4
Oct 202098.1100.3
Sep 202096.9100.0
Aug 2020100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
August 2020September 2020−3.1%13
February 2021March 2021−3.6%11
June 2021August 2021−8.6%22
September 2022December 2022−5.0%34
June 2023July 2023−9.4%13
February 2024May 2024−7.3%33
May 2025August 2025−6.8%33
January 2026February 2026−3.5%12
July 2026September 2026−3.0%2Not yet

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Oliveira do Bairro

Next 12 months

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €1,852/m² and €2,253/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€2,053/m²
Chance of a rise
100%

Affordability

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €129,150. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €490 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
19%
Payment, one income
39%

Buy or rent

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€552
Owning per month
€439

Asking against valuation

Sellers ask 9.3% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +1.2%.

Gap today
+9.3%
Change in a year
+8.0 pp

New homes

9.4% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
62
Per 1,000 residents
2.4

Foreign buyers

Figures for Região de Aveiro: Oliveira do Bairro has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 15.3% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
+15.3%

People and new homes

In 2025 the population grew by 268 while 32 homes were finished: 8.4 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
8.4
Population change, 2025
+268

Empty homes

12.5% of the 11,443 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
12.5%
Empty homes
1,425

Renovation

In 2025, 16% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
16%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Public housing works

Public bodies signed €1.3M of housing works here in 2025, and €2.1M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€1.3M
Per resident, 2025
€51

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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