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Lousada · report

House prices in Lousada: the next 12 months

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €1,631/m² and €2,088/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€1,860/m²
Chance of a rise
70%

Lousada: five years of prices and the expected path

Asking price, € per m², monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path

  • Lousada
  • Porto district
  • Portugal
  • Expected path
  • 80% range
Show the numbers
PeriodLousadaPorto districtPortugal
Sep 2027 · Expected path€1,860/m² (€1,631/m²–€2,088/m²)€3,165/m²€3,380/m²
Aug 2027 · Expected path€1,852/m² (€1,633/m²–€2,070/m²)€3,164/m²€3,367/m²
Jul 2027 · Expected path€1,844/m² (€1,636/m²–€2,052/m²)€3,162/m²€3,355/m²
Jun 2027 · Expected path€1,836/m² (€1,639/m²–€2,033/m²)€3,161/m²€3,342/m²
May 2027 · Expected path€1,828/m² (€1,643/m²–€2,013/m²)€3,160/m²€3,329/m²
Apr 2027 · Expected path€1,820/m² (€1,648/m²–€1,993/m²)€3,158/m²€3,317/m²
Mar 2027 · Expected path€1,812/m² (€1,653/m²–€1,972/m²)€3,157/m²€3,304/m²
Feb 2027 · Expected path€1,804/m² (€1,659/m²–€1,950/m²)€3,156/m²€3,291/m²
Jan 2027 · Expected path€1,797/m² (€1,667/m²–€1,926/m²)€3,154/m²€3,279/m²
Dec 2026 · Expected path€1,789/m² (€1,677/m²–€1,901/m²)€3,153/m²€3,266/m²
Nov 2026 · Expected path€1,781/m² (€1,690/m²–€1,872/m²)€3,152/m²€3,253/m²
Oct 2026 · Expected path€1,773/m² (€1,709/m²–€1,837/m²)€3,150/m²€3,241/m²
Sep 2026€1,765/m²€3,149/m²€3,228/m²
Aug 2026€1,743/m²€3,167/m²€3,207/m²
Jul 2026€1,750/m²€3,153/m²€3,210/m²
Jun 2026€1,728/m²€3,144/m²€3,211/m²
May 2026€1,729/m²€3,138/m²€3,198/m²
Apr 2026€1,738/m²€3,188/m²€3,198/m²
Mar 2026€1,745/m²€3,175/m²€3,174/m²
Feb 2026€1,697/m²€3,132/m²€3,141/m²
Jan 2026€1,632/m²€3,066/m²€3,112/m²
Dec 2025€1,622/m²€3,025/m²€3,080/m²
Nov 2025€1,602/m²€3,064/m²€3,063/m²
Oct 2025€1,608/m²€3,032/m²€3,023/m²
Sep 2025€1,600/m²€2,994/m²€2,993/m²
Aug 2025€1,539/m²€2,947/m²€2,983/m²
Jul 2025€1,478/m²€2,932/m²€2,972/m²
Jun 2025€1,417/m²€2,894/m²€2,938/m²
May 2025€1,356/m²€2,864/m²€2,891/m²
Apr 2025€1,250/m²€2,891/m²€2,867/m²
Mar 2025€1,287/m²€2,868/m²€2,832/m²
Feb 2025€1,268/m²€2,816/m²€2,795/m²
Jan 2025€1,268/m²€2,766/m²€2,753/m²
Dec 2024€1,237/m²€2,731/m²€2,720/m²
Nov 2024€1,264/m²€2,684/m²€2,678/m²
Oct 2024€1,231/m²€2,652/m²€2,650/m²
Sep 2024€1,170/m²€2,615/m²€2,636/m²
Aug 2024€1,149/m²€2,594/m²€2,626/m²
Jul 2024€1,168/m²€2,552/m²€2,624/m²
Jun 2024€1,187/m²€2,509/m²€2,602/m²
May 2024€1,170/m²€2,481/m²€2,588/m²
Apr 2024€1,171/m²€2,452/m²€2,551/m²
Mar 2024€1,184/m²€2,432/m²€2,532/m²
Feb 2024€1,172/m²€2,415/m²€2,512/m²
Jan 2024€1,127/m²€2,388/m²€2,498/m²
Dec 2023€1,103/m²€2,363/m²€2,467/m²
Nov 2023€1,074/m²€2,326/m²€2,445/m²
Oct 2023€1,036/m²€2,281/m²€2,408/m²
Sep 2023€1,030/m²€2,247/m²€2,390/m²
Aug 2023€1,057/m²€2,266/m²€2,385/m²
Jul 2023€1,026/m²€2,316/m²€2,393/m²
Jun 2023€1,042/m²€2,361/m²€2,391/m²
May 2023€1,020/m²€2,332/m²€2,369/m²
Apr 2023€1,028/m²€2,320/m²€2,359/m²
Mar 2023€1,019/m²€2,284/m²€2,337/m²
Feb 2023€1,024/m²€2,290/m²€2,325/m²
Jan 2023€1,019/m²€2,281/m²€2,310/m²
Dec 2022€1,011/m²€2,277/m²€2,299/m²
Nov 2022€1,008/m²€2,261/m²€2,294/m²
Oct 2022€1,009/m²€2,250/m²€2,259/m²
Sep 2022€977/m²€2,270/m²€2,246/m²
Aug 2022€953/m²€2,267/m²€2,242/m²
Jul 2022€944/m²€2,253/m²€2,239/m²
Jun 2022€931/m²€2,238/m²€2,238/m²
May 2022€898/m²€2,243/m²€2,235/m²
Apr 2022€910/m²€2,251/m²€2,223/m²
Mar 2022€937/m²€2,242/m²€2,224/m²
Feb 2022€930/m²€2,229/m²€2,214/m²
Jan 2022€920/m²€2,206/m²€2,204/m²
Dec 2021€890/m²€2,202/m²€2,202/m²
Nov 2021€882/m²€2,183/m²€2,196/m²
Oct 2021€854/m²€2,194/m²€2,183/m²

What the model expects

The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.

HorizonExpected80% rangeChance of a riseChance of beating inflation
In 3 months (December 2026)€1,789/m²€1,677/m² – €1,901/m²61%54%
In 12 months (September 2027)€1,860/m²€1,631/m² – €2,088/m²70%57%

Building a new home costs 34.9% more than in 2021

INE's construction cost index for new housing in Portugal, materials and labour, 2021 = 100. It is context for the price path, not an input to it.

  • Portugal
  • 2021 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugal
Aug 2026134.9
Jul 2026134.2
Jun 2026134.5
May 2026133.5
Apr 2026132.1
Mar 2026131.0
Feb 2026129.2
Jan 2026128.1
Dec 2025126.6
Nov 2025127.4
Oct 2025126.7
Sep 2025126.3
Aug 2025125.4
Jul 2025126.0
Jun 2025125.3
May 2025124.8
Apr 2025124.5
Mar 2025123.7
Feb 2025123.2
Jan 2025123.0
Dec 2024121.7
Nov 2024121.5
Oct 2024121.2
Sep 2024120.7
Aug 2024121.0
Jul 2024120.3
Jun 2024120.6
May 2024120.4
Apr 2024120.1
Mar 2024119.2
Feb 2024119.4
Jan 2024118.9
Dec 2023116.8
Nov 2023117.6
Oct 2023116.4
Sep 2023116.9
Aug 2023116.3
Jul 2023116.4
Jun 2023116.4
May 2023116.3
Apr 2023116.2
Mar 2023116.6
Feb 2023116.4
Jan 2023116.1
Dec 2022114.8
Nov 2022114.8
Oct 2022114.6
Sep 2022114.4
Aug 2022113.6
Jul 2022114.0
Jun 2022113.1
May 2022113.1
Apr 2022112.7
Mar 2022109.7
Feb 2022106.5
Jan 2022104.6
Dec 2021103.4
Nov 2021103.8
Oct 2021102.3
Sep 2021101.4
Aug 2021101.3
Jul 2021101.0
Jun 2021100.2
May 202199.6
Apr 202197.7
Mar 202197.0
Feb 202196.5
Jan 202195.8
Dec 202095.0
Nov 202095.0
Oct 202094.5
Sep 202094.3
Aug 202094.5
Jul 202094.7
Jun 202093.1
May 202092.6
Apr 202092.0
Mar 202092.8
Feb 202094.1
Jan 202094.0
Dec 201993.0
Nov 201993.4
Oct 201992.3
Sep 201992.2
Aug 201992.2
Jul 201992.6
Jun 201992.0
May 201991.9
Apr 201991.6
Mar 201991.2
Feb 201990.9
Jan 201990.6
Dec 201891.0
Nov 201891.0
Oct 201890.1
Sep 201890.0
Aug 201890.3
Jul 201890.6
Jun 201890.2
May 201889.6
Apr 201889.4
Mar 201889.1
Feb 201888.9
Jan 201888.5
Dec 201788.4
Nov 201788.6
Oct 201788.2
Sep 201788.2
Aug 201788.1
Jul 201788.2
Jun 201787.7
May 201787.6
Apr 201787.7
Mar 201787.5
Feb 201787.4
Jan 201787.2
Dec 201686.7
Nov 201686.5
Oct 201686.6
Sep 201686.3
Aug 201686.6
Jul 201686.4
Jun 201686.6
May 201686.5
Apr 201686.4
Mar 201685.8
Feb 201685.9
Jan 201685.7
Dec 201585.6
Nov 201585.5
Oct 201585.4
Sep 201585.6
Aug 201585.6
Jul 201585.5
Jun 201585.6
May 201585.4
Apr 201585.2
Mar 201585.0
Feb 201584.9
Jan 201584.3

The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.

Other reports for Lousada

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €135,360. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €514 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
23%
Payment, one income
47%

Owning and renting a 90 m² home cost about the same each month. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€437
Owning per month
€459

Sellers ask 17.4% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +24.9%.

Gap today
+17.4%
Change in a year
−7.5 pp

137.3% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
454
Per 1,000 residents
9.0

Figures for Tâmega e Sousa: Lousada has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 17.8% less per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
−17.8%

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 10 times since 2015. The deepest began in August 2016.

Deepest fall
−13.7%
Recovery from the low
10 months

In 2025 the population grew by 753 while 178 homes were finished: 4.2 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
4.2
Population change, 2025
+753

9.6% of the 20,038 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
9.6%
Empty homes
1,917

In 2025, 16% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
16%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
1.7

Public bodies signed €354.6K of housing works here in 2025, and €4.9M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€354.6K
Per resident, 2025
€7

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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