Caldas da Rainha · report
People and new homes in Caldas da Rainha
In 2025 the population grew by 284 while 261 homes were finished: 1.1 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 1.1
- Population change, 2025
- +284
Population change and homes finished in Caldas da Rainha
The population's yearly change, net migration plus births minus deaths, against homes finished. INE.
Population change
Show the numbers
| Year | Population change |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 284 |
| 2024 | 1,422 |
| 2023 | 2,095 |
| 2022 | 2,310 |
| 2021 | 1,635 |
Homes finished
Show the numbers
| Year | Homes finished |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 261 |
| 2024 | 263 |
| 2023 | 236 |
| 2022 | 155 |
| 2021 | 175 |
Year by year
| Year | Net migration | Births minus deaths | Population change | Homes finished |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | +2,025 | −390 | +1,635 | 175 |
| 2022 | +2,645 | −335 | +2,310 | 155 |
| 2023 | +2,340 | −245 | +2,095 | 236 |
| 2024 | +1,653 | −231 | +1,422 | 263 |
| 2025 | +563 | −279 | +284 | 261 |
Population change is INE's net migration plus births minus deaths, by municipality since 2021. Homes finished are dwellings completed in new buildings. A home houses a household, not a person: two or three new residents per new home is roughly one home per new household.
Other reports for Caldas da Rainha
Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €2,365/m² and €2,694/m² by September 2027.
- Expected, September 2027
- €2,530/m²
- Chance of a rise
- 93%
At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €181,620. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €689 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 29%
- Payment, one income
- 58%
Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- €758
- Owning per month
- €691
Sellers ask 15.9% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +19.6%.
- Gap today
- +15.9%
- Change in a year
- −3.7 pp
59.5% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Licensed, 12 months
- 418
- Per 1,000 residents
- 7.1
Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 18.4% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.
- Abroad against residents
- +18.4%
Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 13 times since 2014. The deepest began in October 2018.
- Deepest fall
- −10.2%
- Recovery from the low
- 8 months
15.1% of the 31,590 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 15.1%
- Empty homes
- 4,761
In 2025, 0% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.
- Work on existing buildings, 2025
- 0%
- Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
- 0.0
Public bodies signed €27K of housing works here in 2023, and €302.3K since 2012.
- Signed in 2023
- €27K
- Per resident, 2023
- €0
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