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Barcelos · report

Past price cycles in Barcelos

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 9 times since 2011. The deepest began in August 2012.

Deepest fall
−19.7%
Recovery from the low
14 months

Prices in Barcelos and Portugal, indexed

Bank valuations, both set to 100 in January 2011.

  • Barcelos
  • Portugal
  • 100 = January 2011
Show the numbers
PeriodBarcelosPortugal
Sep 2026256.7259.7
Aug 2026245.5257.0
Jul 2026236.5255.4
Jun 2026236.5254.0
May 2026230.4251.8
Apr 2026221.9247.9
Mar 2026217.1245.3
Feb 2026224.9242.0
Jan 2026223.5240.0
Dec 2025222.4237.3
Nov 2025220.3234.9
Oct 2025222.8230.9
Sep 2025218.1227.5
Aug 2025211.0224.1
Jul 2025206.0221.8
Jun 2025201.0217.9
May 2025202.5215.1
Apr 2025202.1212.8
Mar 2025201.1210.6
Feb 2025185.5206.4
Jan 2025187.0202.3
Dec 2024182.7199.2
Nov 2024181.1198.4
Oct 2024178.0196.2
Sep 2024176.2193.3
Aug 2024178.7189.7
Jul 2024178.1186.8
Jun 2024179.0184.5
May 2024175.6183.6
Apr 2024174.1182.0
Mar 2024172.7180.2
Feb 2024170.9177.9
Jan 2024170.2176.7
Dec 2023163.4175.1
Nov 2023160.2174.5
Oct 2023155.8175.1
Sep 2023158.1175.7
Aug 2023156.7175.4
Jul 2023163.2173.9
Jun 2023163.8173.1
May 2023166.9172.2
Apr 2023165.7170.0
Mar 2023166.4169.1
Feb 2023163.0168.5
Jan 2023156.3169.3
Dec 2022155.4166.2
Nov 2022154.3165.2
Oct 2022153.8161.9
Sep 2022157.5162.9
Aug 2022156.5161.2
Jul 2022153.2161.6
Jun 2022151.0160.4
May 2022149.4157.4
Apr 2022147.9154.6
Mar 2022147.9151.8
Feb 2022146.5149.8
Jan 2022144.8147.3
Dec 2021139.0146.5
Nov 2021134.5145.0
Oct 2021133.6142.6
Sep 2021133.3140.9
Aug 2021133.4139.2
Jul 2021133.8139.2
Jun 2021131.2138.5
May 2021131.5138.2
Apr 2021132.6136.8
Mar 2021132.0135.3
Feb 2021130.2133.9
Jan 2021125.3133.4
Dec 2020127.6131.8
Nov 2020126.6130.4
Oct 2020126.6129.0
Sep 2020126.7128.6
Aug 2020127.7128.6
Jul 2020132.3128.5
Jun 2020132.0127.6
May 2020131.5127.0
Apr 2020125.3126.7
Mar 2020128.7126.6
Feb 2020130.8126.7
Jan 2020131.3125.8
Dec 2019127.3124.4
Nov 2019122.3122.7
Oct 2019122.3121.9
Sep 2019123.8121.6
Aug 2019124.9120.2
Jul 2019124.5119.0
Jun 2019122.4117.4
May 2019119.6116.6
Apr 2019119.4115.7
Mar 2019116.9114.7
Feb 2019117.0114.0
Jan 2019116.7112.1
Dec 2018116.7111.4
Nov 2018114.1110.4
Oct 2018109.9110.3
Sep 2018110.3109.4
Aug 2018110.3108.4
Jul 2018111.7107.3
Jun 2018114.1106.3
May 2018115.0105.9
Apr 2018115.6105.4
Mar 2018113.9104.9
Feb 2018110.7103.9
Jan 2018107.8102.9
Dec 2017107.7101.6
Nov 2017109.1101.4
Oct 2017110.2101.0
Sep 2017112.0100.5
Aug 2017112.099.0
Jul 2017111.898.2
Jun 2017108.998.1
May 2017109.597.7
Apr 2017108.597.4
Mar 2017108.496.8
Feb 2017105.896.6
Jan 2017103.595.9
Dec 2016103.195.0
Nov 2016102.594.2
Oct 2016106.193.5
Sep 2016105.093.0
Aug 2016101.892.8
Jul 2016100.491.9
Jun 201697.991.6
May 201696.291.2
Apr 201692.590.5
Mar 201694.389.9
Feb 201694.889.5
Jan 2016100.689.5
Dec 201596.889.9
Nov 201597.589.3
Oct 201596.088.9
Sep 201596.588.6
Aug 201586.188.3
Jul 201582.088.5
Jun 201581.387.7
May 201582.387.6
Apr 201590.386.7
Mar 201590.986.2
Feb 201584.786.2
Jan 201585.986.2
Dec 201491.285.6
Nov 201491.285.6
Oct 201491.686.2
Sep 2014100.488.0
Aug 201495.788.4
Jul 201493.687.0
Jun 201490.385.3
May 201487.584.2
Apr 201491.283.9
Mar 201491.284.3
Feb 201493.685.7
Jan 201496.186.7
Dec 201394.887.0
Nov 201390.386.9
Oct 201392.687.2
Sep 201390.787.0
Aug 201398.786.8
Jul 201399.286.5
Jun 201398.787.1
May 201399.086.4
Apr 201398.985.3
Mar 201394.284.6
Feb 201392.985.1
Jan 201391.986.5
Dec 201295.887.8
Nov 201292.988.3
Oct 201298.788.7
Sep 2012100.689.4
Aug 2012101.389.4
Jul 201293.789.7
Jun 201292.190.2
May 201290.791.2
Apr 201289.192.8
Mar 201292.192.5
Feb 201293.992.4
Jan 201298.192.2
Dec 201194.093.3
Nov 201191.294.5
Oct 201191.895.0
Sep 201192.196.2
Aug 201198.297.1
Jul 201195.097.9
Jun 201195.599.4
May 201194.4101.4
Apr 201197.2102.6
Mar 201199.4102.4
Feb 2011100.4101.1
Jan 2011100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
February 2011April 2012−11.2%144
August 2012June 2015−19.7%3414
October 2016November 2016−3.4%14
September 2017December 2017−3.9%33
April 2018October 2018−4.9%62
January 2020April 2020−4.6%31
July 2020January 2021−5.3%63
May 2023October 2023−6.6%53
February 2026March 2026−3.5%12

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Barcelos

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €1,982/m² and €2,408/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€2,195/m²
Chance of a rise
88%

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €165,870. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €629 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
27%
Payment, one income
53%

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€593
Owning per month
€562

Sellers ask 8.5% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +9.0%.

Gap today
+8.5%
Change in a year
−0.5 pp

87.8% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
949
Per 1,000 residents
7.7

Figures for Cávado: Barcelos has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 2.2% less per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
−2.2%

In 2025 the population grew by 841 while 381 homes were finished: 2.2 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
2.2
Population change, 2025
+841

8.5% of the 49,821 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
8.5%
Empty homes
4,214

In 2025, 1% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
1%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Public bodies signed €1.4M of housing works here in 2025, and €4.6M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€1.4M
Per resident, 2025
€11

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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